Tippecanoe and Falcone Too
With what is often the death knell of local politics, Council Member Iya Falcone was endorsed by the News-Opress today saying she brings "civil discourse" to City Hall....Most candidates endorsed by the SBNP have lost their bids for election in recent years...
posted by Sara De la Guerra | 11/02/2005 10:22:00 AM
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The contrasts in the same day issue between the sentiments about the subject candidate in the editorial endorsement versus the content and quotes in the news article was laughable.
Most candidates endorsed by News-Press in recent years have lost, but that newspaper delights in endorsing fringe and unelectable candidates, too. Think of Tyler and Rittenhouse recently.
According to Travis Armstrong everyone who has not endorsed Iya Falcone is attacking her. Can anyone show any evidence of an attack beyond a lack of endorsement.
You know those evil police and firefighters are attacking Marty Blum!...did you see those tv ads where they say to vote for Falcone Redd & Horton? Just vicious stuff meant to unseat a popular democratic mayor. Iya, Loretta & Roger should be ashamed....
didn't the firefighters endorse grant house?
But who endoreses Channing besides Das? He is staking his entire future on her winning - that really worries me.
Left and true blue.
These speculations about Das Williams and his "future" somehow tied to the election of Channing are perplexing, unless intended as some kind of spin and hyperbole. Plenty more of such speculation on other blogabarbara postings.
If Channing garners enough votes to be elected, then Das certainly has an ally on City Council, an obvious conclusion to anyone half awake watching this election campaign.
Assuming that the strong incumbents Horton and Falcone get re-elected, if Redd makes it, then she is just an idiologic replacement for Secord, so no change to the "balance" on City Council. But if House gets elected, then as a new Councilmember, then House will be more allied with the positions of Das much of the time, we all should know. So, again, there is no there there with the spin or theories that Das is taking such a gamble by backing Channing.
In summation, the bent of the Council majority will be a shift leftward, either a lot with Channing or House elected, or just a little with Redd elected as the fresh councilmember.
So, do not see what Das is staking with such a high risk?
The more significant outcome of this election season is how Marty now can be Marty, and I predict The Slugger will become more of a born-again progressive, lefty, radical, feminist, environmentalist, and fiscal-watcher, etc. in her second term, when she certainly will owe nothing to the Iya Camp. You read it here first.
spell correction: that is "IDEOLOGIC replacement"...
Now if Iya does not make greater than third-place in the election, then the shift on Council will be deep and tremendous and stupendous. A rumor from Iya's early polling was that she indeed was running fourth in the opinion poll.
One of the interesting questions is if Redd will be elected by voters as some kind of a balance -- I agree. Das isn't giving up too much in supporting Channing and it certainly helps the Slugger.
Falcone fourth in an opinion poll? There's probably a close margin of error but that makes things even more interesting...
What's next -- will Lanny be endorsed tomorrow or a third council candidate?
Why does the NewsPress keep endorsing anal candidates? 'cos Wendy's as anal as they get..right Travis!!
rumor is House, Horton safe with Iya in third. challengers nipping at the heels of the Iyatollah but probably not going to catch her short of a "October Surprise" by Josh Molina that dominates the last days of the race.
Horton is solid in first. Iya and House solid in second and third. Redd out of running by 5 to 10 points. Then the minor candidates. It is over.
Oh yeah - the slugger beats no one for a huge victory.
Sorry poseted this is the wrong spot. Read the Fair Political Practice Commission regs on Coordinated campaigns. You cannot talk, you cannot share plans or strategy or you are a controlled commitee. The slugger, the union and the boy broke the law - clear as day. Travis is correct this time
So Sara - Roger Horton, Brooks Firestone, Salud endorsed by the News Press have lost their bids in recent elections. Tyler was a wish and Iya is sure bet.
Keep an eye out on today's Planning Commission meeting where Barry Berkus (Chapala St prune-eating-brown, beach baseketball, Galeria,...) will be bringing back his "State Street Lofts" for a "Concept Review" --- whatever that is. It's a 1 PM, Channel 18 - check the city web page for the agenda item number.
What he seems to be trying to do is an end-run around the planning process: no in depth traffic studies,no environmental impact reports, all quite under-the-radar as the N-P concentrates on supporting Anacapa rats, Santa Cruz pigs and Santa Barbara's L.I.T trio.
A shame --- because this is the start of major demolition on upper State Street, with the Circuit City block to come next. If you like the traffic there now, just wait: u'll love what's coming to our western "entrada".
The only good thing is that Mr. Berkus was quoted whining in the Independent that this is his last attempt to bully his way over citizen interest groups and planning commission members.
Not exactly as he phrased it, but he did say he's had it with the planning process that brings citizen opposition to his large projects, those architectural dreams that might be beautiful in downtown LA ... or "old town" Goleta. Now, there's a thought: why doesn't he devote his undoubted energies to that blight?
RE: Endorsements -- a sure thing is different than a risk. Dating back awhile, they have been off on council and mayor races.
RE: Berkus: Thanks for the heads up -- this is an imporant issue.
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As no new topics have been posted today by Sara DLG, even though the daily newspaper has plenty to discuss, this string instead can be about predictions on the City Council outcome.
Redd a distant fourth place by 5 to 10 percent? Wow! Fourth place, yes, but only by 3.
Or, will the sentiment against Iya be stronger than anticipated? Second place behind Horton is likely, but a third place or fourth would be a strong message from the electorate, considering how much money the Iya campaign has raised and will spend.
It may be a strong message.But the message may be that they threw everything but the kitchen sink at her for 8 months and she is still standing. In addition the combined spending of Marty, Das and their minions who aren't even in the race plus the money of other candidates is an awfully big pile of money. Still not clear on the motives. Is a personal vendetta worth what has happened here?
How much money has been spend by the "minions" for the "vendetta"?
Cite your facts and sources.
Iya is hardly the woeful victim. Or do you, who is too chicken to adopt a consistent blogger nome de keyboard, think that Iya lives in a glass house?
I'm sorry, a "consistent" fake name?
You folks ought to get some air. I have this image of pale desperate people surrounded by junk food wrappers, faces lit by a PC screen glow. It's a Council race! They would all run over your sweet old grandma with a truck to be on Cable TV.
High and Outside
The Berkus "lofts" is agenda item V, at about 3:30 in the Council Chambers or on Ch 18.
Check the list of modifications wanted: reduced parking, encroachments on the front yard setback, 21 "bonus" condos - total of 55 1BR condos of which 38 market rate, 15 middle income and 2 affordable units plus 3 commercial spaces; the existing 12-room "motel" (long since it was a motel and it is now housing for disabled folks) will be demolished as will the existing commercial building - 3885/7 State Street.
Planning commissions are rerun on 18 on Fri 6 pm and Sundays at 9 am.
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