Santa Barbara Politics, Media & Culture

Tuesday, June 06, 2006

The Crystal Ball

A Few Predictions for Today -- Sara de la Guerra says:

Governor: Steve Westly
The Angelides ad this weekend showing Westly hugging the Governator and saying they were one and the same made me sick to my stomach -- Westly can beat Arnold in the fall.

2nd District Supervisor: Janet Wolf and Dan Secord
No matter what Mike Pinto says -- it would be really hard for Das to overcome the largesse of the Capps campaign and the endorsements Janet has picked up along the way.

District Attorney: Christie Stanley
Christie Stanley will win this one outright despite Hayes' effort to paint himself as the "Democratic" candidate. The Independent endorsement puts her over the top.

Sheriff-Coroner: Jim Anderson
Really bold prediction here -- no runoff in this race. As much as we might relish a mano a mano with Thomas -- Anderson squeeks by with 50% plus 1.

County Split: No
The Yes Camp never made their case once Brooks became a Supervisor.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hi Sara--et tu?
you're echoing Travis about adding that it would also be hard for Das to overcome his own lack of actual elected experience, and Janet's solid record of achievement.

6/06/2006 8:20 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Mike Pinto says...

Das 54%
Wolf 24%
Secord 18%
Joe 4%

6/06/2006 9:57 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Mike Pinto says...

Many have asked my advice on who to vote for Governor. Westly, and Phil the developer represent the corporate power structure. Only Janice Jordan will stand up for the masses. Check her out at Off to walk for Das.

6/06/2006 12:22 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Good insight Sara, but for what it’s worth here’s my two cents…

2nd District:

Secord ~30% (securing his base but that’s all he’s able to get and loses in November)
Wolf & Williams too close to call with about 25% each
Guzzardi 20% (nice try Joe but no ciggardi)


Anderson 45%
Thomas 35%
Brown 15%
Arnoldi 5%

There are just too many people in this race for one to make it to 50%+. With Thomas in it’s like having two incumbents running. Brown may do better, taking more votes from Thomas, but Anderson just doesn’t have the stuff to pull off a complete victory today.

County Split: NO

But it does surprisingly well in the South County and especially in the 2nd District (could even pass there).

6/06/2006 1:47 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

You gotta love the Sheriff's race. Now that Anderson is up against Brown can we expect a "truth about brown" website? And what does Anderson get to say now about those plaintiff's in the sheriff's council lawsuit? Did Brown put them up to it? Cochrane has his work cut out for him for sure.

6/06/2006 10:43 PM  

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