2nd District Predictions
Dan or Janet? Are they really being "too nice" as the Indie cover implies? I've seen a pretty hard hitting "Help Wanted" piece from Secord...
posted by Sara De la Guerra | 11/03/2006 10:44:00 AM
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For the voting public, there is no losing this race. While I predict Janet will eke out the vistory and serve us well, Dan also has much to bring to the table, and we would be fortunate to have him as our Supervisor, too. Lucky us!
It has been a "nice' campaign for Janet and a "not so nice" campaign from Dan. But at least the tv ads have not gone negative.
Janet by 7% spread.
Speaking of the playing nice article, what about the ENORMOUS MISTAKE The Independent made? In that article, they reported that Gary Earle endorsed Secord, but it is not true. Earle sent a request for correction to The Indy, but the timing will be too late...so where did the bogus "information" come from?
Personally I don't like either candidate all that much.
I'll hold my nose and vote for Janet
The day Joe Guzzardi endorsed Secord is the day I decided to vote for Janet.
Wolf by a 6-point margin......a well-deserved margin, I might add....
It will be Wolf, she has more troops on the ground.
No question - Janet Wolf. dd
Interesting blog. I don't live there, so haven't followed what's going on in that race. But I enjoy politics and will read what you have to say after the election. Take care.
Re. That "Help Wanted" flyer: Several people are listed on it as endorsing Secord who adamantly DO NOT endorse him. (I have checked with them, because it did not make sense to me, so I know). Either Secord staffers are careless eager beavers, willing to list anyone who showed up at Secord's City Council retirement party, or they are just not honest. In the larger picture of things, this is probably minor, since I think few people actually read the endorsements list, but to me it does not speak well for the Secord people.
What little hair Secord has left, it is still better than Janet's. She's got the shiniest hair on the South Coast.
As far as the election, there are more Democrats than Republicans. Nuff said.
Looks like its Janet Rose: Part Deux.
Need to list specific names of people who are not endorsers but are on Secord's list.
I know a couple people who are fuming that Secord listed them as endorsing him when they told him they clearly would not.
I guess we can blame it on eager campaign staff, but where does the buck stop?
Approximately a year ago I was introduced to Janet Wolf and initially I was not too taken—she did not stand out in a crowd and was quiet and pensive. But we kept running into each other and as we got to know each other better I became more and more impressed.
I have moved from neutral to being a strong supporter. Janet wears well...she is thoughtful, intelligent, and accessible and she will make a fine decision-maker. I predict a win for Janet and a long a successful career on the Board of Supervisors!
If you have not met her, and you remain undecided, try to find a place where's she' s speaking in the next few days and talk to her in person--I think you too will be impressed and swayed! Sign Me: A Republican for Janet
Dr. Dan Secord will win. Everyone is figuring out that Janet was hand picked by Rose and that though she may be a very nice person, she is simply unqualified... I suggest she runs for council next opportunity!
Like 6:59pm, approximately a year ago, I met Janet Wolf and was also not too impressed. But unlike 6:59pm, "thoughtful, intelligent, and accessible" is not enough for me. After all, Susan Rose could be considered all three of those as well. Yet, what Goleta Valley needs is someone with all that PLUS the courage to properly represent residents who are fighting an aggresive development machine.
I will vote for Janet if she promises to represent the residents, and not the likes of Coastal Housing Partnership types. For all the ink in her glossy brochures, Ms. Wolf hasn't had the courage to print her position on land-use. (Although, behind closed doors, she promises GV that she will defend their vision.) Why hasn't she come out of the closet?
Are these anonymous pro-Secord comments all they can muster?
And which City Council should Janet Wolf run for? Her home in the Noleta foothills. For you Secord faithful, that means Wolf resides in the unincorporated part of the County, not in a city.
Maybe the Secord campaign should not have spent so much of its money on over-produced TV ads.
anon 939--- you may be surprised to know that there is no "council" in the unincorporated area---the world does NOT revolve around the City of SB---that is why Janet will win on Tuesday--- Secord's "ideas" may work in a city---esp a city in which he is in the minority as a "conservative"---- but the County is a different world---he's never lived in the unincorporated part of the second district or served in a governance position in the unincorporated portion of the 2nd. Wolf has lived, worked, and governed there. Travis and Dan, from their "city-fied" ivory towers, can talk all the BS they want. The voters know differently.
Now with the Travis "kiss o' death" Secord's fate is sealed---though we knew that anyway.
For those voting for Wolf, don't be too surprised by what you get if she wins! The Indy story is indeed correct in saying that Wolf is close-mouthed. I hope I am wrong but in this Democrat-area, with the amount of money poured in by Capps et al, she probably will win.
The thing that is the biggest surprise in this campaign is how Wolf has been portrayed as an open-minded negotiator who lives in the Goleta Valley. And how that portrayal has been bought by those who should know better.
She lives in a foothill area large house, rebuilt after the fire. It's in the San Antonio Creek area, where her neighborhood association supported Guzzardi in the primary. She's one tough cookie that likes to win and tolerates poorly any disagreement. She's a much tougher, much less environmentally conscious Susan Rose.
All well and good, if that's your choice - but enviros and so forth better not be surprised by what they get. At least with Dan Secord, one gets a seasoned politician, one who responds to the voters (or at least he did as a City Councilman) and knows the issues.
It's a rotten choice for those of us who care for wildlands and wild things and open space. Neither of them are truly "neighborhood" advocates but my two cents and one vote are going for the known Secord, the only Republican this Democrat will vote for.
One thing I read recently was the Independent article about Secord and Wolf "playing nice in the sandbox" and particularly these quotes:
"It is partly Janet Wolf’s backup that has led Guzzardi and other NIMBYs to bet on Secord. Wolf’s worst quality, from their point of view, is the fact that affordable housing advocates lined up behind her during the primaries, joined at the hip to Goleta development interests."
and this...
"While others might suffer violent knee-jerk reactions to the very idea of auto malls or even urban villages dotting the countryside — both of which have recently been under consideration to raise revenues for the county treasury — Wolf entertains these ideas without flinching. If the environmentalists were not holding a gun to her head, there’s literally no telling what she might do."
Yikes!
I'm not willing to risk it, at least with Secord he has a record to consider, Janet does not.
I am voting Secord and I hope he wins, but I fear that Capps money might help Janet take the seat, and as the Indy said, "She will probably disappoint everybody to some degree."
FYI the Independent endorsed Janet.
Also FYI Janet does not support Auto Malls - Secord does.
Just one of many things Martha Sadler got wrong.
Electing Janet to the second district seat is like giving the boss's nephew an executive position in a 700 million dollar corporation just because he's the boss's nephew.
The only reason Janet's even on the ballot is because she's friends with a member of congress who happened to be the wife of a former congressman - - who is friends with a county supervisor who happened to be the assistant to a former county supervisor. The two "big names" that are helping get Janet elected are "big names" because of they rode the coattails of those who came before them -- not because they were the most qualified people for the job they currently hold (kind of like the rich who INHERIT the money rather than EARN the money).
Janet's club-affiliation has placed her on next week's ballot. Dan Secord is there because he has oodles of experience and is best-qualified for the job.
Mister Dan's record at city hall is all you have to know, to know you should not vote for him. His "record" is one of elitism.
I recall Secord's lobbying on behalf of airplane hangers or "thin skinned" airplane's homes if you will, while simultaneous proclaiming that "we cannot house everyone who wants to live here"
when considering much needed properly placed housing developements.
Mister Dan voted against neighborhoods nearly 100% of the time. Mister Dan violated numerous municipal codes, setbacks, density and height requirements to accomodate nearly every special interest upscale developer representative that made his way to the speaker podium while Mister Dan was a Planning Comissioner and of course on appeal as a Councilmember.
Speaking of appeals, Mister Dan's own appeal of the City de Santa Barbara's error ridden approval of a neighbor's project was wrought of hypocracy beyond anything I have witnessed at a City Council hearing. Mister Dan's appeal, centered around his "private views" and was all inspiring except he lent no favor to any constiuent with similar view concerns, with more valid greivances, while offering a statement such as "private views are not within the city's jurisdiction."
By the way Mister Dans environtmentally friendly car in his TV commercial looks nothing like the tired old red Mercedes sports coupe spewing black soot while rolling through the City de Santa Barbara's orignal neighborhood's stop signs (which I have winessed.) "Safe Streets" indeed.
Ms. Wolf has no record and that is why I will give her a chance and give her my vote. I will vote against her in successive elections in less I absolutely favor her.
Wow, the desperate, biased talk-radio-show-like voices of negativity are poisoning the blog in these final hours before Wolf's victory. How sad. They can't get their message across in a positive way so, like the GOP all over the country, they take the low road. Won't work, boys.
I guess setting up some recycling program in a school is the best earmark for Wolf's position on the environment. It's like telling me of George Bush's foreign policy experience that was based on being a Texas governor whozs only trip outside of the US prior to being elected president was his one trip to the UK. I see where this extensive foreign policy experience has gotten us.
I'm a little confused. By advocating thin skinned houses for airplanes does that mean that we should be building houses on airport property instead? I'd sure hate to live on airport property myself.
either way we will lose to developers.
(anon 10:51pm) hahah.. "Mister Dan"? The only person who refers to DR. DAN SECORD as "mister" is Janet Wolf : "Wolf took to calling Dan “Mister Secord,” rather than “Doctor Secord,” ... this name-game qualified as an insidious form of psychological warfare" - Nick Welsh (the santa barbara independent)
Oops Janet, perhaps you should have tried to be less obvious on this blog.
He is not MISTER Dan Secord, but rather DEVELOPER Dan Secord.
Secord definitely has experience, but so does George W. Bush. That does not mean it is the kind of experience and values we want for our County Supervisor.
Developer Dan is such because he does not know how to say NO to developers!
BTW, Secord will lose by a 7 percent spread.
Sounds like Secord Central is pretty slow today. They apparently have time to drink and blog.
Desperate Dan is now trying to convince voters he is Democrat Dan!
He put himself on a phone democrat mailing with his old mug squeezed in between Bill Clinton and Phil Angelides.
That is the laugh of the campaign!
Abhor nasty 11th hour games, What are you listening to? I have from newsy source that biased talk-radio-show-like are "a freaking joke". Not an influence.
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