Election Night Wrap Up
Sheriff: The Biggest Surprise: Chief Bill Brown will likely make the run off. KEYT says he is 900 votes ahead of Thomas with 10,000 votes left to be counted. They both say they will support each other against Anderson come November. As a commenter lamented tonight -- "will there be a truthaboutbrown.com site"? Me? I'll miss UgoPeterButch tellin' it like it is...
2nd District: Not too much of a surpise -- other than maybe how close it is looking between Secord and Wolf. It will be interesting to see what the secondary results bring in over the next few days. Secord 30%/Wolf 29%/ Williams 20%/Guzzardi 19%.
District Attorney: 70% is an impressive victory for Christie Stanley. Hayes had 16%/Dunlap 14%.
County Split: Down in flames as it should.
2nd District: Not too much of a surpise -- other than maybe how close it is looking between Secord and Wolf. It will be interesting to see what the secondary results bring in over the next few days. Secord 30%/Wolf 29%/ Williams 20%/Guzzardi 19%.
District Attorney: 70% is an impressive victory for Christie Stanley. Hayes had 16%/Dunlap 14%.
County Split: Down in flames as it should.
posted by Sara De la Guerra | 6/06/2006 10:47:00 PM
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47 Comments:
The Biggest Surprise is not the Thomas went down in flames to earn a double retirement check, but how bad Das Willams did - he may lose to Guzzardi when the day of absentee ballots are counted.
All damage to Williams was self inflicted. Janet Wolf did not beat Das Williams, Das Williams did. And more than the lack of clearity about his race and hometown it was his tv spots. They were horrible.
The lessons learned here is clear: 1. a candidate who has himself as a consultant, has a fool for a client. 2. the Das bling and odd body language does not come over well in tv. He is just an awkward boy and on tv he came across as very odd and a bit disconcernting.
If I were the other candidates I would have paid for more of his spots to appear instead of running my own.
The hero of the night is Guzzardi who ran the real grassroots with his wife - both going door to door tirelessly.
The open wound of the night goes to Wolf as she enters the general with the burdon of being a union pawn and part of the boss politics of first Rose then Lois and Salud. Who gave all that money to Salud and Lois?
Secord skated through ready for the real game - no harm - not fouls and is fresh to fight.
2nd District: Not too much of a surpise
?
Give me a break - Das crashes and burns. Janet hides behind mama Rose and Capps -
Das, Janet and Joe pounce on Dan and he crusies to a easy first like the warm ups in a track meet.
Now the party begins and if I was Janet I would not want to explain why the unions are bragging that they have here under control and will get the money they need as the county faces economic ruin. And then who gave Janet all that money - voters ? Oh no - the poltical king makers.
A rose in wolf clothing - let the games begin. Susan Wolf. Janet Rose.
Mike Pinto says...
THE ONLY LOSERS TONIGHT ARE THE PEOPLE OF SANTA BARBARA, THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA, AND MAYBE EVEN THE NATION. DAS WILLIAMS HAS WHAT IT TAKES TO GO ALL THE WAY. THIS MIGHT BE A BUMP IN THE ROAD BUT ONLY A BUMP. DAS IS A GREAT LEADER AND WE WILL FOLLOW HIM ANYWHERE!
Ah, it was the dark horse candidate in the Sheriff's race that beat out Thomas - but the animosity is far from being over.
For the loosers to expend their political capital so quickly by throwing their support to Brown prior to examining either runoff candidate's victory potential seems unwise.
One cannot discount that Anderson, despite ALL the negative publicity and NP relentless attacks and foot-in-mouth prattling, did manage to garner almost 40%. Opponents are disengenuous at best to say that 60% voted against him. With 3 department members vying for votes from within, it is far more surprising that Thomas lost and that the overall vote totals weren't closer than what they were.
It should be very interesting in what the deputies do now. dd
aaaahhh so the bashing begins......give it a day or two rest, people. Let the victors enjoy a day of rest, the losers some time to lick their wounds.
1229, et al
gee I wonder who is paying YOU at this wee hour of the morn....
Janet has no explaining to do. She's run an honest, positive, perseverent and forthright campaign and will continue to do so.....
the name-calling and negativity didn't help those in the primary who pursued those tactics--either via whisper or loudly. Such juvenile bullying won't help anyone now.
I agree with the first post, 11:58 pm, that Das Williams destroyed his own candidacy. As one of his supporters, I was discouraged by those tv ads, especially that one opening with him talking to a statue. I supported him for the city council because I think he does care, is capable but there needs to be a considerable more humiilty, more interest in listening to others rather than talking at them - plus more study/research. After all, this Council job is now quite well paying, given all the perks plus salary. Imo, he's definitely capable at issues, but is he capable of change and growth?
It's not a question of growing up, because, after all, he's in his 30's, only a year or so younger than fellow council person (and next mayor?) Helene Schneider. Those most of us select as local candidates do so for substance, not party --- and Das's switch to Janet Wolf is not encouraging: from the NP this morning: "Mr. Williams said he would work hard to get Ms. Wolf elected. "I think she's shown more strength than most people gave her credit for."" Case in point of his self-reference in most thing: I suspect that all those people who voted for her already thought she was strong and don't welcome Williams' hug. It may be the thing to do to get the party support, but it reeks in the larger world.
I am strongly opposed to Wolf, voted for Williams but will vote for Dr. Secord as one with a proven record, though I don't agree with him in all aspects, on land use and environment, for example. But I think he would represent the interests of his district. Being on the school committee, having your house burn down (while your neighbors' did not), union and in-people support does not do it for this big and small-d democrat.
We come to BlogaBarbara waving a white flag.
Our blog lost.
The Geneva thing says you gotta treat us right.
Yesterday’s election settled it by a landslide. Sixty percent of the votes for the pro-growth side is clear. You all won.
Today’s county planning commission meeting made it in-your-face clear.
We slow- and no-growth types will have to grab our survival grab-bags and head for the hills.
We’re done. Stick a fork in us.
SBR
I agree with SBR. Das and Joe should have gotten together and decided who was going to drop out earlier. There is still no choice for a slow-growth voice for our County in the coming race for the 2nd district. Joe is the wildcard--if Secord offers him the job of Planning Commissioner my bet is that Joe throws his votes to him.
isn't Joe as Planning Commissioner an oxymoron? "JUST SAY NO" does not require planning.....
Guzzardi as Developer Dan's Planning Commissioner?!?!
That puts pandering on its upside down head!
Joe and Dan share more opinions and supporters than anyone.
A Joe endorsement of Janet is an endorsement of Rose's horrible term on office.
Make no mistake wolf is rose's hand picked successor.
Joe do the right thing.
Lemme see if I can get this right. Thomas voters have no intention to vote for Anderson in November. Thus, if their votes are added to Brown's votes, Brown is standing at 47% right now, or 10% ahead of the incumbent. Seems to me Thomas got exactly what he wanted, i.e. Anderson on his heels going into November. What dirt is Anderson going to be able to dig up on the son of a preacher man? He wasn't involved in the Gail Marshall recall. He is not coming out of retirement. He is not affiliated with the Sheriff's Council or any of the plaintiffs. He has had no dealings with the AG on "extortion or extortion-like" activities. Hmmm.... Perhaps it is time for the DSA to stop kow-towing to a vindictive boss and grow some skin.
so the mantras are starting.........Dan, Dan, you should be ashamed of yourself.......your namecalling, disrespect and nastiness right out of the gate will not play well..........your opponents' name is Janet Wolf.
Quite an interesting theory, or dreaming, here about voters for The Guzz shifting to support Developer Dan.
Although a few more votes still to be tallied from the absentees delivered on election day, here are the totals:
Secord 6203 + Guzz 3944 = 10147
Daas 4255 + Wolf 5855 = 10110
That is close enough to be a dead tie, especially with some absentees still to be included.
One can imagine with his encouragement all the Das voters would vote for Wolf, but no way all the Guzz voters would switch to Developer Dan. They either would not vote or lean a bit towards Wolf.
The wild variable is how much will the voter turnout raise for a Guber election in November with also some big Statewide bonds also on ballot. Are those "new" voters in November going to lean towards Secord or Wolf?
9:21 - I find your comments highly interesting, especially since the "son of a preacher man" comment appeared in the Newspress this morning......
Are you part of the media, trying to influence elections to go your way again?
The one good thing about Anderson is that he is NOT vindictive, inept maybe, but NOT evil like you are trying to infer.
Mike Pinto:
look up "Cult of Personality"
or do I need to write it in ALL CAPS?
To 12:22,
I am a lifelong democrat who voted for Guzzardi. Thanks to Janet's allegiance to the pro-growth pro-density agenda that has been inflicted upon the South Coast, I'll be voting for Secord. Janet got through the primary because of marketing, pure and simple. The uninformed judged the book by it's cover, and know not what they have done!
At least with Secord, we can expect some straightforwardness and experience. If I must choose my poison, let it be the honest one. Bottoms up!!!
November is a whole new game. It is no longer a vote on Das or not Das. Now it is all about who can lead the county into the future and who can best get two other votes to protect the second district.
This is Janet's to lose. She starts with a huge advantage. And quiet frankly I expect that she has already set her self up to lose.
She sold her soul to the unions and that will come back to hurt her.
She could not raise any interest in her campaign and was forced to count on Lois and Salud money. That means every donor to Lois and Salud are donors to her - that will hurt her.
Last, Susan Rose is her biggest problem. That will haunt her through November.
7:29 - Your skepticism is good, but misplaced. I am not part of any media. I am however extremely interested in the sheriff's campaign, know the candidates (all of them), and the NP doesn't own the phrase "son of a preacher man" any more than Aretha Franklin does. By the by, there are many who disagree with your suggestion that the incumbent is not vindictive. Dom Palera might be one of them.
Actually " Son of Preacher Man" is Dusty Springfield in Memphis.
The thing that is amusing about the outrage about Wolf "selling her soul" to the Public Safety unions, is that all the candidates tried desperately to get those endorsements and failed. Upon failing they immediately turned around and condemned the person who recieved them. Do you really think no one is paying attention to that? Did you think they wanted those endorsments without the money that went along with them? Get real.
9:21 - I doubt my skepticism is misplaced. I'm just LOL that you are trying to infer that ALL of the supporters of Arnoldi and Thomas WILL vote for Brown, thus throwing out the current sheriff.
That's not a savvy conclusion regarding voters because they rarely behave like the candidates wished they would.
As for as Palera, he is still working at the Sheriff's department without restrictions or demotion. If Anderson had been vindictive towards Palera, it would have been plastered all over the NP and Thomas and Brown would have constantly refered to it during the campaign trail.
The flip side to Palera's discomforture and the lowering his profile might be the revelations in the public documents regarding his culpability in the multi-million dollar lawsuit. settlement. 7:29
Sara---its getting kind of obvious that by default you're hosting a blog to showcase paid campaign staff [or fervent volunteers]........they pose as "real people" but come on, we all know better.
I'm not sure what the solution is, its just that its a real turn-off
from a loyal reader
The endgame of the fall 2nd District campaign will be the Lois/Salud/Dem machine (with Das, Marty and Helene falling into line) against the disorganized and practically non-existant Republican "organization." Even though Secord has broader experience, and he has Davies, the weight of Lois' money and influence should carry the day.
Early returns showed Anderson at almost 40%. That would have been when the oldest absentee ballots were counted. He only wound up with 36% after the most recent absentee votes were counted. Do you think he lost 4% because of his unprofessional comment about requesting the attorney general to investigate members of the council only to retract his statement as to the plaintiff past-presidents? I don't know the answer but it seems like a possibility.
For 7:08 - early returns are just that - early returns. Perhaps looking at the bigger picture will help...
Why pick out just Anderson? He started out at 39% and was the frontrunner. But Brown started behind Thomas and eventually beat him to make the runoff. You could ask the same question about Thomas being unprofessional as you implied about Anderson. Point is that Anderson never lost the lead position, but Thomas lost being the runner up.
As for the 2nd district, Guzzardi was ahead of Das in the early returns for 3rd and 4th place. Did Das's abrasive ads and unprofessional comments do him in? Not really because in the end, he beat Guzzardi, but like Thomas, lost the election.
What about Janet and Dan? Did their unprofessional conduct by accepting big bucks donations from union, law enforcement and PAC's hurt them? No - they won, yet their race was far, far tighter than the sheriff's race.
It's very difficult to get better than a 35% majority vote in a field of four candidates - as illustrated in the sheriff's and supervisor's race. Anderson and Secord started out as top-vote getters and remained there. Anderson's tallies fluctuated pretty much within normal limits for a crowded field, while Dr. Dan's numbers declined but never lost front-runner status.
When looking at results just remember the Scientific method of research and park individual biases off to the side. When you do that, the results generally are much more accurate and reasoning becomes more logical.
dd
9:21
With such a division at within the department, should Anderson win, there will be hell to pay. Thomas and Arnoldi will rally the troops and get out the vote. Anderson will be sent out to pasture in what would have been Mission County. Brown has my vote.
You think Das is a little happier back in the City with Joshua covering him than in the County? By the article today, you bet. Having a reporter "he grew up with" helps doesn't it.
Yee gads 8:40 pm! And how would you be in such a position to know Thomas and Arnoldi will rally the troops?
Could you posters start giving out some facts with substance instead of hypnotic mantras? Or at least a well thought out POV?
Loyal Reader's posted comments above might be right on the money...
dd
Um, can you point out the big buck union donation secord recieved?
Well, 9:21 I doubt that. Vote as you wish, but I think most of the "troops" will back Anderson. Brown has an terrible reputation in the local law enforcement community and virtually no one on the sheriff's department want him.
Channel 3 says that the first votes counted were the first absentee ballots received. The first returns said Anderson had 39 %. He wound up with only 36%. Doesn't that suggest that his last minute comments about the attorney general hurt him? The people who voted later than the first absentee voters knew of his comments by the time they cast their votes. Argue the "numbers" all you want, it just can't mean anything other than that his striking out at the Sheriff Council hurt him with the voters. When will the DSA wake up? Who do they think got them all bullet-proof vests and tasers?
9:38, I apologize, my fingers were typing faster than I thought. You are correct in that Dr. Dan did not receive union donations. In fact, he did return several donation checks because those donors did not reflect his campaign platform.
dd
To whom is blogabarbara -
Thanks for hosting.
Now that Das's city council an supervisor fun is over it feels like you are done.
Maybe you should turn off the lights now that you are done
I'm not sure why people like yourself were so sure we were supporting Das when it is pretty clear that Janet got a lot of space here as well.
To your point -- we may turn out the lights anyway. Too many comments in the last several months were mean, nasty and did not further discussion in any way. This is why there haven't been any posts -- perhaps I will do one on that soon.
Sara---amount of space is irrelevant to the spin you, or any 'publisher' gives to candidates.
For me, the clincher was your statement on the Election Night Wrap Up 2nd District race as "not too much of a surprise...other than how close" between Secord and Wolf.
Das was decimated in the race----and any attempt to diminish--or in your case ignore---that fact was nothing but spin from the Das camp. The only reason he wasn't completely stomped by Guzzardi was the frenzied last minute GOTV effort when they realized he was LOSING.....
Well, Blogabara, "mean, nasty and did not further discussion in any way" is the pot calling the kettle black, since you set the tone with name calling from the very outset....
Sara -
By all standards this blog as poltical blogs go is very tame - I know that is hard to believe - those with poltical thoughts get passionate and ugly - yet when they do it hurts their cause more than helps it.
You have done an excellent job with this blog - yet I think you try to hard to protect those who cannot control their own emotions - they lose more when they act childish.
Look at just one page of comments about Murtha and Rove from today's Huffington Post - the Blogabarbara for the nation -
*********************************************************
FROM THE HUFFINGTON POST:
I'm not sure who I despise more...Karl Rove or the idiots who believe his slander and vote accordingly.
"Ann Richards is a lesbian"
"John McCain has a black baby"
"Dems wanted to keep Zarquwi (sp?) alive"
I could continue but I don't have all day.
- MaryanneNJ, 06.18.2006
I disagree with only one thing that Murtha said: I don't think Rove spends that much time sitting on his big, fat backside because he doesn't want to suffocate the gerbil.
- trotskyxxx, 06.18.2006
Another case where this SOB Rove, who has never placed his ass on the line in the military, is advocating staying a course that only leads to more of our finest meeting death in this trumpted up war! Where are HIS friends, relatives, and family while he mouthes these platitudes? Sittng on his fat ass running his mouth.
- BILL0527, 06.18.2006
*********************************************************
END HUFFINGTON POST
Now that is ugly. Unless this is too much of a pain - do not give up. And let people make a fool of themselfs if they want to - just protect others - not the fools.
Mike Pinto says..
Please don't " turn the lights out." This is the best outlet for free speech in our county. This blog didn't favor Das...only provided some of us an outlet to support him. Just as it did for supporters of Joe, Secord and Wolf.
A continuing robust political discussion is what our county needs. Shutting down this blog only play's into the hands of the power structure that works so hard to keep all of us down.
I agree Sara it was clear it was stronger to Janet than Das, but not by much. The challenge is that janet paid the ultimate price to win the primary and it will kill her in the general - all the dirty money and help - she is like a little girl in AYSO soccer with the over active soccer mom and dad who will do what ever for her to be the star. In this case it was about Dad and Mom's money.
Word is that Iya offered Joe lots of help to be a City Council member to support Janet - so it is Dad, Mom. and Mom.
Challenge is that Janet can not perform at all - she is a weak sister. Very weak and in the primary her only uniqueness is that she was not Das who Naomi, Iya, Salud and Lois hated (almost as much as they hated Hannah Beth).
Janet is the weak sister in so many ways and Dr Dan will crush her.
Thanks for the feedback -- yeas -- at least we don't have anyone sitting on little animals around here, maybe I should count my blessings :)
I would like to suggest that you keep you chin up, Sara, and keep this blog going.
For some perspective, let's agree on the following:
- All media has its limitations and all media will be subject to criticism. If you are to be effective in printing all sides, you will receive criticism...from all sides. Slough it off.
- You should protect us all by freely NOT printing anything you think is offensive or unfair. This is your "vehicle"; keep a hand on the wheel and drive it where you wish. Anyone who doesn't like it can get out.
- If you quit, the result will be that you will give more power to certain media monopolies, especially those who very selectively screen out letters and columns they don't agree with and encourage and publish points of view that agree with media's editorial views. Your blog lets those of us who are most censored by media monopolies, have a voice, however small.
So please, take a deep breath, ignore critics whose aims are to silence you so that media monopolies would have more power. Please keep this blog going.
Many of us appreciate what you do; we just don't say it often or loudly enough.
Best wishes.
has anybody checked out that new paper that was on here awhile ago? the sb daily sound?
do they accept columns, letters etc.? how is doing overall?
Mike Pinto says...
I for one knows Sara did not favor Das becuase she would not print 50% of my comments supporting Das, nor my comments opposing George Bush's drive by war in Iraq.
I don't know about 50% Mike...but you are right, I didn't publish everything from all sides.
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